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LED产品将是中国未来照明市场霸主


本文由: PCBA分板机、PCB分板机、铝基板分板机 endevvor.com  提供   刘小姐:0769-89874130


近期“荧光灯含汞量降低路线图”、《半导体照明节能产业规划》(下称《规划》)相继出台。随着白炽灯时代的过去,传统高效照明产品如节能灯等将迎来爆发式增长,从长期发展来看,LED产品或将是未来照明市场的霸主”,中投顾问环保行业研究员侯宇轩表示。

政策利好《规划》中明确指出,未来五年内传统高效照明将占据70%的市场份额,LED照明将占据20%。与此同时,到2015年,60W以上普通照明用白炽灯全部淘汰。这足以让大多数企业抢占LED市场的热情高涨。

3D之家预测            YANGGUANGZHAOMINGDONGMIZHAOFANGHUABIAOSHI,YANGGUANGZHAOMINGMUQIANZHUYAOJUJIAOYULEDHEDENGJULIANGGELINGYUFAZHAN。LEDZHAOMINGLINGYU2012NIANXIAOSHOUSHOURUJIANGJIN4YI,JIAOZHI2011NIANSHIXIAN6BEIDEZENGZHANG,ZHANZHENGGEGONGSISHOURUDE10%DUO;2013NIANMUBIAOSHI10YI,JI2012NIANDE2.5BEI,JIANGZHANGONGSISHOURU30%。SHAMENTONGSHIDAZHAOMINGYOUXIANGONGSIYERENWEI,CONGXINGYENEIBUJINGZHENGQIANGDULAIKAN,XIANGGUANZHENGCEDECHUTAI,DADATISHENGLEXINGYEDEJISHUBILEI,XUDUOZHONGXIAOQIYEKENENGJIANGZHUBUTUICHUSHICHANG。JINJIEERLAIDESHICHANGJIEGOUDIAOZHENG,HUIRANGSHICHANGDEZHUYAOXUQIUZHUJIANJIZHONGDAOSHUJIAYONGYOUJINGZHENGLIDECHANGSHANG。

3D之家预测          JINGUANXIANGGUANZHENGCEZHIJIEYINGXIANGDESHIXIAYOUYINGYONGQIYE,DANSHIDUIYUSHANGYOUQIYEYESHIYIZHONGLIHAO。SANANGUANGDIANYIWEIGONGZUORENYUANBIAOSHI,MUQIANGAIGONGSIDEYIBAIDUOTAIMOCVD(SHENGCHANLEDWAIYANPIANDEGUANJIANSHEBEI)JIHUSHIQUANKAI。

        “YIGESHIZHUBUTAOTAIBAICHIDENG,DIERGESHIZHUBUJIANGDIYINGGUANGDENGGONGHANLIANG,DISANGESHITISHENGLEDZHAOMINGDEZHANYOULV,ZHEIDUISHANGYOUQIYELAISHUODOUSHIFEICHANGJIJIDE。”HUAWEIDIANZI (600360.SH)WANGXINBOSHISHUO,GAIGONGSIZHUYAOWEIXIAYOUDEDENGCHANGTIGONGDIANYUAN,YOUYUZHENGCEDEBIANHUA,DUIDIDUANSHENGCHANCHANGJIADESHENGCHANFANGSHI、GUANLIBANFA、JISHUDENGDOUTICHUTIAOZHAN。ZHEIYOULIYU QIYEBUDUANWANGGUIMOHUA、ZHENGGUIHUAFANGXIANGFAZHAN,ZUIZHONGDICHENGBENSHENGCHANDEQIYEBEITAOTAI。

         侯宇轩也说,当前,地方政府为完成节能减排的目标大力推进LED照明的普及,鼓励企业将其应用于改造公共路灯照明、公共场所照明、政府办公大楼照明等公共 设施照明,LED照明市场逐渐开启。从价格方面来看,由于LED上游芯片制造业的产能过剩、政府加大补贴力度等因素利好,LED照明价格将有较大幅度的降 低,促进市场的普及。“称霸”仍需时日

 DANXINXINGDELEDSHIFOUNENGGOUDUANQINEICHENGBAZHONGGUOZHAOMINGSHICHANG?

 DANGQIAN,ZHONGGUOJIENENGDENGZHAOMINGCHANYEZHUYAOYOUCHUANTONGGAOXIAOZHAOMINGCHANPINYIJILEDZHAOMINGLIANGDASHICHANG。DUANQILAIKAN,BAICHIDENG、YINGGUANGDENGDENGPUTONGZHAOMINGCHANPINSHICHANGBIJIANGKUAISUZAODAOYASUO,DUIYUJIENENGDENGHELEDLAISHUODOUSHIJIHUI。DANSHEINENGXIAODAOZUIHOU,HAISHIXUANNIAN。 YENEIFENXISHIRENWEIMUQIANHAISHIJIENENGDENGSIHUGENGYOUYOUSHI。JIENENGDENGBULUNSHICONGCHENGBEN、GONGYIHAISHIXINGNENGDENGGEFANGMIANDOUQUYUCHENGSHUHEWENDING。“CHUFEISHOUYUANCAILIAOJIAGEYINGXIANG,(JIENENGDENG)CHENGBENSHANGJIHUMEIYOUXIAJIANGDEKONGJIAN,XINGNENGSHANGYEYIDAODAJIXIAN。”YENEIRENSHISHUO。

目前一只节能灯的成本在1美元之内,而LED照明是在4美元左右,这样的差距决定了短时期内节能灯仍旧会占据中国节能照明市场的“大头”。 政策中规定70%市场份额的底线保障是其最大的推动力,侯宇轩也认为,随着白炽灯时代的过去,传统高效照明产品如节能灯等将迎来爆发式增长
但与此同时,由于国家政策上给予了一系列扶持,市场对LED市场预期相对乐观,LED步步逼近传统节能照明,也导致了近年来多家传统照明企业倒闭。因此,LED迅速占领照明市场的可能性较大。赵芳华表示,政策的执行力度也是决定节能灯和LED谁能笑到最后的关键因素。“这关系到白炽灯的淘汰能不能执行下去、执行到位,还有执行快慢的问题。”赵芳华说,如果切换比较快,短期可能对节能灯影响较大,反之则更加有利于LED。

         ZHEISHIYINWEI,JIENENGDENGDEJIAGEQUYUWENDING,ERXINXINGDELEDJIAGEHAISHIZAIXIAJIANGZHONG。RUGUOLEDDEJIAGEKONGZHIZAIJIENENGDENGJIAGEDELIANGBEIZHINEI,NEIMELEDJIUWANQUANYOUKENENGTIDAIJIENENGDENG。“YAOKANLEDZISHENCHENGBENXIAJIANGDESUDU,NENGFOUGENJIENENGDENGLAIJINGZHENG。”ZHAOFANGHUASHUO。

产能落后《规划》明确指出,促进LED照明节能产业产值年均增长30%左右,2015年达到4500亿元,其中LED照明应用产品1800亿元。业内人士担心,巨大的市场诱惑之下,盲目的、低水平的扩张,将会重蹈产能过剩的复辙。“十一五”期间,我国LED照明节能产业年均增长35%以上。据不完全统计,截至2010年底,我国有半导体照明企业5000余家,其中规模以上企业约1000家。

3D之家预测  2012NIANDIZHIJIANJU、GONGSHANGJUCHOUCHAQUANGUOGEDIDELEDZHAOMINGCHANPIN、JIENENGDENG、DAOLUZHAOMING、XIAOFANGYINGJIDENGJUHEDIANGUANGYUANDENGDEJIEGUOXIANSHI:LEDZHAOMINGCHANPINHEGELVJINWEI51%。

HOUYUXUANRENWEI,LEDXIAYOUZHAOMINGSHICHANGYICHUZAICHANNENGGUOSHENGDELINJIEDIAN,SUIRANXINGYEXIPAIGUAIDIANZAI2012NIANXIABANNIANYIJINGDAOLAI,DANYOUYUZHENGCELIHAO,XINGYEDUILEDZHAOMINGSHICHANGDEYUQISHIFEN LEGUAN,DUOSHUQIYEBUDUANKUODACHANNENGGUIMO,RANERQUANQIUJINGJIPIRUAN,LEDZHAOMINGCHUKOUSHOUZU,ZHUANNEIXIAOHOUQINGKUANGNANYIDEDAOHAOZHUAN,NEIWAIJIAOKUNDAOZHIQIYEXIANRUYUXINGYEZHENGCELIHAOHUANJINGXIANGMAODUNDEJU MIAN。

3D之家预测     “SUIRANLEDZHAOMINGSHIXINYIDAIZHAOMINGJISHU,DANZAIYENEILAIKAN,QIJISHUHANLIANGSHENZHIBURUJIENENGDENG。”QIFAXINSHUO,XIANZAIGUONEIHENDUOLEDZHAOMINGDOUSHIZHONGXIAOQIYE“PINPINZHUANGZHUANG”,MEIYOUDUOSHAOSHI ZIJIDEDONGXI。TARENWEI,LEDSHANGYOUDEXINPIANZHIZAOJISHU、ZHONGYOUDEFENGZHUANGJISHUSHIWOMENDEDUANBAN,XIAYOUQIYEZEQUEFASHICHANGDEXIFENHUAHECHAYIHUA。LEDZHAOMINGSHIYIGEXITONG,QIYETIGAOJINGZHENG LI,WUWAIHUSHICONGJISHUSHEJI、TIGAOCHANPINDEKEKAOXINGHEANQUANXING、SHICHANGDINGWEIDECHAYIHUAFANGMIANLAITUPO。

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